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Prairie Village, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Prairie Village KS
National Weather Service Forecast for: Prairie Village KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
Updated: 4:26 am CDT Jul 15, 2025
 
Today

Today: Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 96. South wind 3 to 8 mph.
Sunny

Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am.  Mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly Clear
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Wednesday

Wednesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. South southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Chance
T-storms

Thursday

Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
T-storms

Friday

Friday: A chance of thunderstorms before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Chance
T-storms

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Mostly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Mostly Sunny

Hi 91 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 95 °F Lo 72 °F Hi 81 °F Lo 69 °F Hi 88 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 94 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 96. South wind 3 to 8 mph.
Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 102. South southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
 
A chance of thunderstorms before 7am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Saturday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 94.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Sunday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
Sunday Night
 
Mostly clear, with a low around 76.
Monday
 
Sunny, with a high near 95.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Prairie Village KS.

Weather Forecast Discussion
711
FXUS63 KEAX 150809
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
    - Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
    - Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
      round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.

* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
  south of Highway 36.
    - Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
      the day.

* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
  into Thursday afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Near to slightly above normal temperatures are expected today as
highs climb into the lower 90s across eastern KS and western MO,
with upper 80s for highs  further east. A weak/subtle disturbance
moving through OK early this morning may bring some showers and
storms to southern MO this afternoon. This will most likely not
affect our forecast area but have added some low PoPs, around 15-
18%, for our extreme southeastern zones to capture this small
potential.

Focus then shifts to Tuesday night-Wednesday morning. Thunderstorms
will likely develop Tuesday afternoon across SD and NE along a cold
front as a shortwave tracks across that region. These storms will
then likely develop into an MCS that tracks southeast across central
and eastern NE Tuesday night. How far southeast this MCS is able to
maintain its intensity is uncertain but it looks like it starts to
weaken in southeastern NE or far NW MO. However, these systems often
track further southeast than expected so it`s possible it maintains
its strength into center portions of the forecast area. Regardless,
the main impacts with this possible MCS will be strong winds and
northwestern MO and far northeastern KS have the best chances for
seeing strong to possibly severe wind gusts. The latest SPC Day One
outlook has a marginal risk in our far northwestern zones and that
looks reasonable at this point.

How this system evolves and how far south any outflow boundary makes
it will greatly influence the forecast Wednesday, from how hot
it might get to where additional storms develop. Most of the
guidance has a boundary draped right through the middle of the
forecast, roughly in a region from Highway 36 to I-70 Wednesday
afternoon. Given this location, it looks like the hottest
temperatures will be south of Highway 36. Low and mid-level
temperatures surge ahead of this front and deep mixing into
those temperatures will help to lead to highs climbing into the
middle 90s. With dewpoints stuck in the low to mid 70s, heat
index values climb to around 105 south of Highway 36. Some
localized higher heat index values are likely as well. But all
this will depend on just where that boundary stalls. All that
heat and humidity, with the front in the area, will lead to
another chance for storms Wednesday afternoon and evening.
MLCAPE values Wednesday afternoon could be in excess of 3000
J/kg. The main hazard with this activity will be from damaging
downburst winds. Practically the entire forecast area is in a
marginal risk, which again looks reasonable at this time given
relatively marginal shear limiting potential for more organized
convection.

That boundary may linger in the area on Thursday, though this is
highly dependent on how earlier convection evolves. The Wednesday
evening and overnight convection may help push the boundary further
south into southern MO. Additionally, convection may be ongoing and
further reinforce the southward push. All of this leads to a cooler
temperature forecast for Thursday with highs potentially 10-15
degrees cooler. That front may then stall in our southern zones or
across southern MO, leading to continued low chances for showers and
storms Friday. For the weekend, loow-level flow increases from the
south and southwest which helps lift the front northward. This may
lead to some isolated to scattered storms over the weekend but will
more likely lead to warmer and humid conditions. Late in the
forecast, broad upper ridging builds over the middle of the country
and that leads to continued above normal temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1046 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period (although cannot
completely rule out some patchy fog at STJ), with clear skies
tonight into tomorrow morning and scattered fair weather cumulus
developing tomorrow afternoon. Light southeasterly winds
tonight should become southerly by tomorrow afternoon, remaining
less than 10 knots.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CDB
AVIATION...Williams
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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